Cibona 74-81 Krka, October 9, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Krka beat Cibona 81-74, and Krka's shots were worth 81.9 points to Cibona's 77.0.

Cibona 74-81 Krka, October 9, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cibona575961.915/2015.27477.0
Krka687071.511/1310.48181.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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