Cedevita Olimpija 76-74 Split, October 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Cedevita Olimpija beat Split 76-74, but Split's shots were worth 69.2 points to Cedevita Olimpija's 69.0.

Cedevita Olimpija 76-74 Split, October 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cedevita Olimpija	62	66	58.8	10/13	10.1	76	69.0
Split	60	60	54.6	14/19	14.6	74	69.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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