Budućnost 81-78 Crvena zvezda, June 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Budućnost beat Crvena zvezda 81-78, and Budućnost's shots were worth 82.4 points to Crvena zvezda's 60.8.

Budućnost 81-78 Crvena zvezda, June 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Budućnost	59	64	65.7	17/21	16.7	81	82.4
Crvena zvezda	51	68	50.7	10/13	10.1	78	60.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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