Budućnost 104-70 Crvena zvezda, May 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Budućnost beat Crvena zvezda 104-70, and Budućnost's shots were worth 85.0 points to Crvena zvezda's 78.8.

Budućnost 104-70 Crvena zvezda, May 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Budućnost	59	83	66.8	21/24	18.1	104	85.0
Crvena zvezda	56	50	58.8	20/26	20.0	70	78.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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