Dubai Basketball 85-76 Cedevita Olimpija, May 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Dubai Basketball beat Cedevita Olimpija 85-76, but Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 80.7 points to Dubai Basketball's 79.2.

Dubai Basketball 85-76 Cedevita Olimpija, May 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Dubai Basketball	56	61	50.9	24/36	28.4	85	79.2
Cedevita Olimpija	60	56	56.8	20/30	23.9	76	80.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.