Zadar 55-91 Budućnost, October 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Budućnost beat Zadar 91-55, but Zadar's shots were worth 83.2 points to Budućnost's 78.5.

Zadar 55-91 Budućnost, October 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	55	34	60.7	21/30	22.5	55	83.2
Budućnost	60	84	72.1	7/8	6.3	91	78.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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