Mega 87-92 Budućnost, May 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Budućnost beat Mega 92-87, and Budućnost's shots were worth 87.1 points to Mega's 82.9.

Mega 87-92 Budućnost, May 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mega	64	74	71.9	13/15	11.0	87	82.9
Budućnost	57	67	63.5	25/31	23.6	92	87.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.