Dubai Basketball 86-85 Cedevita Olimpija, May 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Dubai Basketball beat Cedevita Olimpija 86-85, but Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 96.2 points to Dubai Basketball's 83.1.

Dubai Basketball 86-85 Cedevita Olimpija, May 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Dubai Basketball	51	62	58.4	24/30	24.6	86	83.1
Cedevita Olimpija	68	64	73.6	21/29	22.6	85	96.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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