Krka 87-91 Cedevita Olimpija, May 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cedevita Olimpija beat Krka 91-87, and Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 87.8 points to Krka's 85.2.

Krka 87-91 Cedevita Olimpija, May 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Krka	66	75	73.2	12/16	12.0	87	85.2
Cedevita Olimpija	65	81	75.7	10/16	12.1	91	87.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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