FMP 93-94 Crvena zvezda, May 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Crvena zvezda beat FMP 94-93, but FMP's shots were worth 91.8 points to Crvena zvezda's 88.5.

FMP 93-94 Crvena zvezda, May 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
FMP	73	86	79.8	7/16	12.1	93	91.8
Crvena zvezda	69	75	72.3	19/22	16.2	94	88.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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