Dubai Basketball 79-75 Budućnost, May 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Dubai Basketball beat Budućnost 79-75, but Budućnost's shots were worth 91.5 points to Dubai Basketball's 85.1.

Dubai Basketball 79-75 Budućnost, May 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Dubai Basketball	65	64	68.6	15/20	16.5	79	85.1
Budućnost	72	60	76.2	15/19	15.3	75	91.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.