Budućnost 78-69 FMP, April 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Budućnost beat FMP 78-69, and Budućnost's shots were worth 91.4 points to FMP's 80.4.

Budućnost 78-69 FMP, April 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Budućnost	74	68	82.4	10/12	9.1	78	91.4
FMP	67	52	66.8	17/18	13.6	69	80.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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