Split 85-78 Crvena zvezda, October 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Split beat Crvena zvezda 85-78, and Split's shots were worth 78.4 points to Crvena zvezda's 76.1.

Split 85-78 Crvena zvezda, October 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Split576961.716/2216.78578.4
Crvena zvezda616967.09/129.27876.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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