Cibona 83-88 Mega, April 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Mega beat Cibona 88-83, and Mega's shots were worth 82.8 points to Cibona's 76.1.

Cibona 83-88 Mega, April 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cibona	65	71	63.9	12/16	12.2	83	76.1
Mega	64	72	68.9	16/19	13.9	88	82.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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