Mornar-Barsko zlato 82-92 Cedevita Olimpija, October 5, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. Cedevita Olimpija beat Mornar-Barsko zlato 92-82, but Mornar-Barsko zlato's shots were worth 85.3 points to Cedevita Olimpija's 75.7.

Mornar-Barsko zlato 82-92 Cedevita Olimpija, October 5, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mornar-Barsko zlato	65	70	70.5	12/21	14.8	82	85.3
Cedevita Olimpija	59	78	62.5	14/17	13.2	92	75.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.