Budućnost 81-77 Partizan, April 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Budućnost beat Partizan 81-77, but Partizan's shots were worth 77.8 points to Budućnost's 75.4.

Budućnost 81-77 Partizan, April 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Budućnost	57	63	60.1	18/20	15.3	81	75.4
Partizan	62	63	63.2	14/19	14.6	77	77.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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