Cibona 81-107 Crvena zvezda, April 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Crvena zvezda beat Cibona 107-81, and Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 84.8 points to Cibona's 62.7.

Cibona 81-107 Crvena zvezda, April 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cibona	61	74	55.4	7/10	7.3	81	62.7
Crvena zvezda	70	93	68.6	14/21	16.2	107	84.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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