Krka 82-73 Split, April 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Krka beat Split 82-73, and Krka's shots were worth 80.8 points to Split's 79.4.

Krka 82-73 Split, April 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Krka	62	70	70.0	12/14	10.8	82	80.8
Split	60	59	67.8	14/15	11.6	73	79.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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