Mornar-Barsko zlato 78-70 Krka, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Mornar-Barsko zlato beat Krka 78-70, but Krka's shots were worth 87.0 points to Mornar-Barsko zlato's 83.5.

Mornar-Barsko zlato 78-70 Krka, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mornar-Barsko zlato	62	63	69.6	15/20	13.9	78	83.5
Krka	64	56	71.1	14/20	15.9	70	87.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.