Crvena zvezda 77-78 Spartak, March 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Spartak beat Crvena zvezda 78-77, but Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 87.6 points to Spartak's 76.0.

Crvena zvezda 77-78 Spartak, March 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Crvena zvezda	68	60	72.0	17/20	15.5	77	87.6
Spartak	59	72	68.3	6/10	7.7	78	76.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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