Mega 75-74 Zadar, March 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Mega beat Zadar 75-74, but Zadar's shots were worth 83.9 points to Mega's 82.4.

Mega 75-74 Zadar, March 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mega	59	64	71.5	11/15	10.8	75	82.4
Zadar	63	65	76.1	9/11	7.7	74	83.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All ABA Liga games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.