Borac 72-98 Crvena zvezda, March 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. Crvena zvezda beat Borac 98-72, and the shots on each side were worth 89.5.

Borac 72-98 Crvena zvezda, March 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Borac666277.810/1611.77289.5
Crvena zvezda618073.418/2116.19889.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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