Cedevita Olimpija 74-69 Crvena zvezda, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Cedevita Olimpija beat Crvena zvezda 74-69, but Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 74.5 points to Cedevita Olimpija's 67.6.

Cedevita Olimpija 74-69 Crvena zvezda, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cedevita Olimpija	53	56	49.4	18/24	18.3	74	67.6
Crvena zvezda	60	58	58.9	11/20	15.6	69	74.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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