Mega 93-79 Budućnost, March 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Mega beat Budućnost 93-79, but Budućnost's shots were worth 81.9 points to Mega's 71.9.

Mega 93-79 Budućnost, March 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mega	56	83	60.2	10/16	11.8	93	71.9
Budućnost	53	56	59.6	23/29	22.3	79	81.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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