Zadar 72-63 Krka, March 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Zadar beat Krka 72-63, and Zadar's shots were worth 79.6 points to Krka's 63.1.

Zadar 72-63 Krka, March 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Zadar575161.021/2618.67279.6
Krka585858.35/64.86363.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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