Igokea 90-87 Mega, March 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Igokea beat Mega 90-87, but Mega's shots were worth 91.4 points to Igokea's 89.9.

Igokea 90-87 Mega, March 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Igokea606969.421/2520.59089.9
Mega586669.921/2921.68791.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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