Crvena zvezda 89-96 Budućnost, February 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Budućnost beat Crvena zvezda 96-89, but Crvena zvezda's shots were worth 88.2 points to Budućnost's 83.8.

Crvena zvezda 89-96 Budućnost, February 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Crvena zvezda	63	66	66.0	23/29	22.2	89	88.2
Budućnost	69	79	65.5	17/24	18.4	96	83.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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