Cibona 85-86 FMP, February 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FMP beat Cibona 86-85, and FMP's shots were worth 79.4 points to Cibona's 72.2.

Cibona 85-86 FMP, February 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Cibona647561.610/1410.68572.2
FMP606960.617/2418.88679.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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