Split 69-75 Cedevita Olimpija, February 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cedevita Olimpija beat Split 75-69, and Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 66.6 points to Split's 65.5.

Split 69-75 Cedevita Olimpija, February 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Split535046.819/2418.66965.5
Cedevita Olimpija586151.814/1914.87566.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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