Mega 66-95 Dubai Basketball, January 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Dubai Basketball beat Mega 95-66, and Dubai Basketball's shots were worth 96.6 points to Mega's 89.7.

Mega 66-95 Dubai Basketball, January 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mega	56	47	70.7	19/26	19.0	66	89.7
Dubai Basketball	67	84	87.2	11/12	9.5	95	96.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.