Dubai Basketball 84-85 Cedevita Olimpija, January 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Cedevita Olimpija beat Dubai Basketball 85-84, but Dubai Basketball's shots were worth 88.3 points to Cedevita Olimpija's 82.1.

Dubai Basketball 84-85 Cedevita Olimpija, January 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Dubai Basketball646368.821/2519.58488.3
Cedevita Olimpija606965.716/2116.48582.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.