Mega 87-94 Krka, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. Krka beat Mega 94-87, but Mega's shots were worth 102.1 points to Krka's 95.0.

Mega 87-94 Krka, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Mega	63	66	80.8	21/28	21.3	87	102.1
Krka	70	83	83.1	11/15	11.9	94	95.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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