Zadar 82-69 Cibona, January 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Zadar beat Cibona 82-69, and Zadar's shots were worth 78.9 points to Cibona's 64.9.

Zadar 82-69 Cibona, January 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Zadar	60	65	61.3	17/23	17.6	82	78.9
Cibona	52	56	51.6	13/18	13.2	69	64.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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