Cedevita Olimpija 84-82 Krka, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Cedevita Olimpija beat Krka 84-82, and Cedevita Olimpija's shots were worth 101.9 points to Krka's 78.6.

Cedevita Olimpija 84-82 Krka, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Cedevita Olimpija	80	64	81.0	20/27	20.9	84	101.9
Krka	68	74	66.5	8/16	12.0	82	78.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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