Budućnost 89-78 Dubai Basketball, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. Budućnost beat Dubai Basketball 89-78, and Budućnost's shots were worth 81.5 points to Dubai Basketball's 62.4.

Budućnost 89-78 Dubai Basketball, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Budućnost	66	75	66.9	14/19	14.6	89	81.5
Dubai Basketball	60	72	56.9	6/7	5.6	78	62.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.